INTERNATIONAL AIRLINE MEDICAL ASSOCIATION

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Transmissibility

The increased transmissibility is not in question. Omicron has been detected in over half of countries, and is in circulation in over 50 of them; it has become dominant in South Africa, US, UK, Denmark and Portugal. It can double in 48 hours, and it can be expected that widespread circulation will become established in most locations. A few States with such circulation have now relaxed border restrictions, recognising that these will confer no benefit in limiting spread.

Omicron

Numbers of confirmed Omicron cases continue to rise dramatically but it is clear that because of low sequencing rates in many countries, actual numbers will greatly exceed those reported.  We still await clarity on the apparently (but not yet established) milder spectrum of disease with Omicron, and whether that will be outweighed, in terms of health system impacts, by the greater transmissibility.  At this early stage UK reports only 16 hospitalisations and one death from Omicron (with some thousands of cases). https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1041210/20211215_OS_Daily_Omicron_Overview.pdf

Here’s an updated technical communication from WHO on Omicron summarising the current state of knowledge:
https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/enhancing-readiness-for-omicron-(b.1.1.529)-technical-brief-and-priority-actions-for-member-states

Omicron

Omicron cases today are at 2919 across 66 countries according to BlueDot (yesterday the tally was 2563 cases across 60 countries).

According to BlueDot today, Omicron is estimated to have an R-value between 3 and 3.5, similar to SARS-CoV-2 prior to vaccines in 2020. UK and Europe (ECDC) estimates are that in the next 2-4 weeks, the proportion of new cases which are Omicron will reach 50%.

Greetings again MCG,

The medical evidence document has been updated again, and can be accessed from the same link here: https://www.iata.org/globalassets/iata/programs/covid/restart/covid-public-health-meausures-evidence-doc.pdf

One of the areas which has been updated relates to vaccination preventing transmission. 

It will continue to be updated, but new versions will be at the same above link (complete with spelling mistake).